Notch vs SNL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
36.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-178%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
TAK
1 - 4
NOT
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
NOT
1 - 2
BOM
33%
25%
43%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 2
NOT
32%
23%
45%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
NOT
3 - 1
FCS
31%
25%
45%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
NOT
1 - 0
INR
50%
24%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SNL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2010 |
RES
2 - 1
SNL
21%
23%
57%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
SNL
1 - 2
DES
68%
19%
14%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
FCS
1 - 4
SNL
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2010 |
SNL
2 - 0
TAK
57%
21%
21%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
SNL
7 - 0
TAM
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +2 |