Northwood vs Basingstoke Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
71.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northwood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
NOR
2 - 3
SCR
35%
22%
43%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 0
HAY
16%
21%
64%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
TOO
7 - 3
NOR
79%
14%
7%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 7
UXB
11%
17%
72%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
NOR
76%
16%
8%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Basingstoke Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MEL
3 - 2
BAS
31%
23%
45%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 1
CHI
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BAS
3 - 4
WIM
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 2
CHA
77%
14%
9%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BAS
4 - 1
BRI
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |