Northwood vs Barton Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
44.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northwood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
NOR
5 - 0
WOD
22%
23%
56%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 1
AYL
28%
23%
49%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
NOR
0 - 2
NOR
58%
21%
20%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SLO
4 - 3
NOR
87%
10%
4%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
BED
2 - 1
NOR
67%
20%
13%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Barton Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 1
WOD
53%
22%
24%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
UXB
1 - 0
BAR
55%
21%
23%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
BET
1 - 0
BAR
47%
23%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
6 - 2
ASH
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 1
BED
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |