North Ferriby United vs Tamworth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Ferriby United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 0
EBB
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
NOR
3 - 0
WOR
63%
22%
16%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
FAR
0 - 2
NOR
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
STA
2 - 2
NOR
26%
23%
51%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 1
BRA
68%
18%
14%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
TAM
1 - 1
BAR
43%
26%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
OXF
1 - 0
TAM
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
TAM
4 - 1
STA
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
LEA
1 - 2
TAM
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
TAM
1 - 0
GUI
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |