Noroeste vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 2
SAN
12%
20%
69%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
PAU
2 - 0
NOR
61%
20%
19%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
TUP
2 - 1
NOR
34%
27%
40%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
NOR
2 - 0
MIR
50%
26%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
BOA
4 - 1
NOR
37%
26%
36%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 2
BOT
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
88%
9%
3%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
GUA
0 - 1
MAC
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
LIN
0 - 1
GUA
28%
28%
44%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
BOA
1 - 3
GUA
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |