Noroeste vs Flamengo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 1
NOR
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 1
SER
34%
26%
41%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
GRÊ
0 - 2
NOR
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 0
NOR
69%
20%
12%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 2
GRE
36%
26%
38%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FLA
3 - 2
INT
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
SJS
2 - 3
FLA
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
OLI
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
FLA
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
COM
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |