Oberliga Baden-Württemberg Round 4

Normannia Gmünd vs Freiberg analysis

Normannia Gmünd Freiberg
34 ELO 28
4.9% Tilt -2.4%
6288º General ELO ranking 1757º
316º Country ELO ranking 73º
ELO win probability
55.7%
Normannia Gmünd
22.5%
Draw
21.8%
Freiberg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
Normannia Gmünd
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.8%
Win probability
Freiberg
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Normannia Gmünd
-27%
+66%
Freiberg

ELO progression

Normannia Gmünd
Freiberg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Normannia Gmünd
Normannia Gmünd
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2009
NOT
Nottingen
0 - 2
Normannia Gmünd
NOR
59%
22%
20%
31 35 4 0
14 Aug. 2009
NOR
Normannia Gmünd
3 - 2
Illertissen
ILL
54%
22%
24%
31 28 3 0
08 Aug. 2009
BAH
Bahlinger SC
3 - 2
Normannia Gmünd
NOR
50%
24%
26%
32 30 2 -1
06 Jun. 2009
HOF
Hoffenheim II
2 - 2
Normannia Gmünd
NOR
70%
19%
12%
32 45 13 0
30 May. 2009
NOR
Normannia Gmünd
1 - 1
Nottingen
NOT
45%
25%
30%
32 34 2 0

Matches

Freiberg
Freiberg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2009
FRE
Freiberg
2 - 1
Spielberg
SPI
75%
16%
9%
29 18 11 0
15 Aug. 2009
KEH
Kehler FV
1 - 1
Freiberg
FRE
31%
25%
45%
29 24 5 0
08 Aug. 2009
FRE
Freiberg
1 - 0
Denzlingen
DEN
71%
17%
12%
29 20 9 0
06 Jun. 2009
FRE
Freiberg
2 - 0
Offenburger FV
OFF
76%
15%
9%
30 18 12 -1
30 May. 2009
CRA
Crailsheim
3 - 2
Freiberg
FRE
46%
25%
30%
30 29 1 0