Nordsjaelland vs Randers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
8º
5º
35
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nordsjaelland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AGF
4 - 2
FCN
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FCN
3 - 2
FCK
45%
23%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SIF
4 - 1
FCN
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FCN
1 - 1
LYN
72%
18%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
VEJ
0 - 1
FCN
22%
24%
54%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
BOL
0 - 10
RAN
4%
11%
85%
|
77 | 30 | 47 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RAN
1 - 0
AAB
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BIF
2 - 2
RAN
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RAN
1 - 2
SON
40%
25%
36%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
RAN
0 - 2
SIF
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |