New Zealand National League Sur. Jor. 4

Nomads Utd vs Twenty 11 analysis

Nomads Utd Twenty 11
15 ELO 9
6.7% Tilt 10.5%
11286º General ELO ranking 18569º
32º Country ELO ranking 122º
ELO win probability
91.9%
Nomads Utd
6%
Draw
2.1%
Twenty 11

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.7%
Win probability
Nomads Utd
3.64
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.4%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.7%
5-0
8.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.5%
4-0
11.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.6%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6%
2.1%
Win probability
Twenty 11
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nomads Utd
+69%
-79%
Twenty 11

Points and table prediction

Nomads Utd
Their league position
Twenty 11
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
10º
6
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Christchurch United
49
49
100%
Cashmere Technical
39
42
100%
Coastal Spirit
31
31
100%
Dunedin
26
29
0%
Ferrymead Bays
26
29
0%
Nelson Suburbs
22
25
100%
Nomads Utd
20
23
100%
Green Island
16
16
100%
Selwyn United
10
10
100%
Twenty 11
10º
6
6
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Nomads Utd
Twenty 11
Final Series
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Nomads Utd
Twenty 11
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nomads Utd
Nomads Utd
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2023
CAS
Cashmere Technical
7 - 3
Nomads Utd
NOM
95%
4%
1%
16 43 27 0
01 Apr. 2023
NOM
Nomads Utd
1 - 2
Ferrymead Bays
FER
34%
21%
45%
17 21 4 -1
25 Mar. 2023
DUN
Dunedin
3 - 0
Nomads Utd
NOM
62%
18%
19%
17 21 4 0
27 Aug. 2022
COA
Coastal Spirit
0 - 2
Nomads Utd
NOM
70%
16%
14%
16 22 6 +1
20 Aug. 2022
NOM
Nomads Utd
3 - 5
Nelson Suburbs
NSF
20%
19%
61%
17 26 9 -1

Matches

Twenty 11
Twenty 11
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2023
FCT
Twenty 11
0 - 1
Selwyn United
SUF
6%
12%
82%
7 17 10 0
31 Mar. 2023
GIA
Green Island
2 - 0
Twenty 11
FCT
94%
5%
2%
7 19 12 0
25 Mar. 2023
FCT
Twenty 11
0 - 6
Cashmere Technical
CAS
2%
6%
92%
8 42 34 -1
13 May. 2022
FER
Ferrymead Bays
6 - 0
Twenty 11
FCT
72%
17%
11%
9 18 9 -1
15 May. 2021
FCT
Twenty 11
0 - 2
Christchurch United
CHR
13%
17%
70%
9 24 15 0
X