Noisy-le-Sec vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noisy-le-Sec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
ARM
1 - 1
NOI
33%
28%
39%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
NOI
1 - 1
OLY
44%
28%
28%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
NOI
2 - 1
FEI
35%
28%
37%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
AAC
2 - 1
NOI
41%
28%
31%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
NOI
2 - 0
ROY
26%
27%
47%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
ARR
1 - 0
USL
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
FEI
2 - 0
ARR
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
ARR
1 - 2
ROY
38%
26%
37%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
TAI
1 - 2
ARR
13%
20%
67%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
ARR
0 - 3
SED
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -2 |