Nocerina vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
TUR
4 - 0
NOC
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
NOC
0 - 0
CCI
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
MES
2 - 1
NOC
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
NOC
1 - 0
BAR
8%
21%
71%
|
34 | 68 | 34 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ROT
2 - 3
NOC
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
ASD
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
POR
2 - 0
MAR
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
GEL
46%
25%
29%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
PAL
3 - 2
MAR
35%
26%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
USC
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |