NK Varazdin vs Lokomotiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
4º
6º
4º
39
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
SLA
0 - 1
NKV
45%
28%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
NKV
1 - 1
HKS
29%
28%
43%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
RIJ
1 - 0
NKV
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
NKV
0 - 0
HNG
54%
26%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
NKV
1 - 1
DZG
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
LOK
1 - 2
HNS
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
LOK
0 - 2
SLA
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
HKS
1 - 1
LOK
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
LOK
0 - 1
RIJ
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
LOK
1 - 1
HNG
63%
23%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |