NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
19.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
4º
8º
8º
5
4º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 73 |
1º
|
73% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 62 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 55 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 54 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 51 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 45 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 44 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
5 | 44 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
|
4º
|
5 | 37 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 27 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 84.5% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 14.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 0
NKV
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
NKV
2 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
NKR
0 - 0
NKV
19%
24%
58%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
NKV
2 - 1
ZOR
33%
25%
42%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
SAR
1 - 2
NKV
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
TRI
3 - 1
HNG
46%
23%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
HNG
4 - 1
ILI
74%
16%
9%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
HNG
0 - 2
CHA
40%
24%
36%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
HNG
3 - 1
SKA
29%
23%
49%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
HNG
4 - 2
SIR
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |