1. HNL Title Play-off Round 3

NK Varazdin vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis

NK Varazdin HNK Hajduk Split
78 ELO 81
17.9% Tilt 10.3%
723º General ELO ranking 266º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
49.1%
NK Varazdin
24.4%
Draw
26.5%
HNK Hajduk Split

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
NK Varazdin
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.5%
Win probability
HNK Hajduk Split
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
NK Varazdin
+4%
-6%
HNK Hajduk Split

ELO progression

NK Varazdin
HNK Hajduk Split
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

NK Varazdin
NK Varazdin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2006
NKV
NK Varazdin
3 - 3
Kamen Ingrad Velika
KIV
65%
19%
15%
77 73 4 0
25 Mar. 2006
KIV
Kamen Ingrad Velika
0 - 1
NK Varazdin
NKV
39%
26%
35%
77 73 4 0
18 Mar. 2006
OSI
NK Osijek
0 - 2
NK Varazdin
NKV
42%
26%
33%
76 74 2 +1
11 Mar. 2006
ZAG
NK Zagreb
0 - 1
NK Varazdin
NKV
49%
24%
27%
76 76 0 0
04 Mar. 2006
NKV
NK Varazdin
0 - 1
HNK Hajduk Split
HKS
48%
24%
27%
77 81 4 -1

Matches

HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Hajduk Split
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2006
HKS
HNK Hajduk Split
1 - 1
HNK Rijeka
RIJ
48%
24%
28%
81 82 1 0
25 Mar. 2006
HKS
HNK Hajduk Split
3 - 0
NK Osijek
OSI
59%
22%
18%
81 73 8 0
18 Mar. 2006
RIJ
HNK Rijeka
1 - 1
HNK Hajduk Split
HKS
55%
23%
22%
81 81 0 0
11 Mar. 2006
HKS
HNK Hajduk Split
1 - 1
NK Slaven Belupo
SLA
65%
21%
14%
81 74 7 0
04 Mar. 2006
NKV
NK Varazdin
0 - 1
HNK Hajduk Split
HKS
48%
24%
27%
81 77 4 0