NK Tolmin vs Šencur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
37.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
3º
1º
57
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
52.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
87.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
69% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
61% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Tolmin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
TOL
7 - 0
SDB
85%
10%
5%
|
46 | 7 | 39 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NSV
1 - 1
TOL
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
TOL
3 - 1
NKS
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
TOL
3 - 0
SLJ
87%
10%
4%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
MNK
0 - 1
TOL
45%
24%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Šencur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
SEN
5 - 2
KRA
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SEN
0 - 0
ADR
85%
11%
4%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SEN
3 - 0
BRD
87%
9%
3%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
SEN
5 - 0
ADR
83%
12%
5%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
SLE
0 - 2
SEN
11%
18%
71%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | +1 |