NK Tolmin vs Brda Dobrovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
4.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-76%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
3º
1º
33
5º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
52.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
87.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
69% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
61% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Tolmin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
ADR
2 - 1
TOL
12%
19%
68%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TOL
3 - 1
SEN
40%
23%
37%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
TOL
7 - 0
SDB
85%
10%
5%
|
46 | 7 | 39 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NSV
1 - 1
TOL
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
TOL
3 - 1
NKS
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Brda Dobrovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BRD
1 - 1
ZIR
28%
21%
51%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ADR
3 - 1
BRD
50%
23%
28%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BRD
4 - 2
VIS
24%
21%
55%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +3 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SEN
3 - 0
BRD
87%
9%
3%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
BRD
2 - 2
SKR
29%
23%
49%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |