Posavje Krsko vs Smartno 1928 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.3%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
4º
10º
9º
10
12º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
93.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
48% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 40 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 36 |
11º
|
78.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
12º
|
98% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
83.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Posavje Krsko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NKP
3 - 2
DRA
36%
23%
41%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NKP
6 - 2
DRA
72%
15%
13%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CEL
3 - 2
NKP
55%
19%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 4
NKP
27%
21%
53%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NKP
0 - 3
VID
64%
18%
18%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Smartno 1928
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
SMA
2 - 4
CEL
11%
15%
74%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
SMA
2 - 4
VID
14%
18%
68%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BRE
4 - 3
SMA
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 2
DOB
18%
20%
62%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SDC
1 - 2
SMA
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | +1 |