Nafta Lendava vs NK Tolmin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
7º
1º
33
2º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
1º
|
59 | 60 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 56 |
3º
|
75.5% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 54 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
6º
|
85.5% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
39% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
45.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
41% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
50% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
50% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nafta Lendava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 1
NKN
46%
23%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
NKN
0 - 0
TAS
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NKP
3 - 0
NKN
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
BIS
1 - 0
NKN
36%
24%
39%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
NKN
2 - 0
FUZ
71%
17%
11%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
NK Tolmin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TOL
3 - 0
RUD
46%
23%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BIL
2 - 1
TOL
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
TOL
0 - 3
BRI
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
NKP
1 - 0
TOL
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
TOL
0 - 4
TRI
56%
23%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |