Croatia Third Division center Round 18

NK HASK Zagreb vs Kurilovec analysis

NK HASK Zagreb Kurilovec
27 ELO 28
-5.3% Tilt -13.3%
27168º General ELO ranking 8478º
124º Country ELO ranking 66º
ELO win probability
44.1%
NK HASK Zagreb
23.3%
Draw
32.6%
Kurilovec

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
NK HASK Zagreb
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
32.6%
Win probability
Kurilovec
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
NK HASK Zagreb
-21%
+23%
Kurilovec

Points and table prediction

NK HASK Zagreb
Their league position
Kurilovec
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
18º
13º
40
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
NK Karlovac 1919
87
87
100%
NK Maksimir
67
70
100%
Vrapče
62
65
100%
Lučko
58
59
100%
NK Ponikve
50
53
58.5%
Samobor
51
52
58.5%
Segesta
47
47
60%
Sava Strmec
44
47
45.5%
NK Trešnjevka
46
46
66%
Gaj Mače
10º
42
42
10º
17.5%
Kurilovec
11º
40
41
11º
8.5%
Lukavec
12º
40
41
12º
29%
NK HASK Zagreb
13º
40
41
13º
31%
Bistra
14º
38
38
14º
67.5%
 Dinamo OO
15º
37
37
15º
67.5%
Mladost Petrinja
16º
36
37
16º
67.5%
Tekstilac Ravnice
17º
36
36
17º
100%
Vrbovec
18º
24
24
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
NK HASK Zagreb
Kurilovec
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

NK HASK Zagreb
Kurilovec
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

NK HASK Zagreb
NK HASK Zagreb
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2022
HAS
NK HASK Zagreb
3 - 1
Lukavec
LKV
50%
21%
28%
27 26 1 0
27 Nov. 2022
DOO
 Dinamo OO
1 - 1
NK HASK Zagreb
HAS
61%
19%
20%
26 28 2 +1
19 Nov. 2022
NMP
Mladost Petrinja
3 - 1
NK HASK Zagreb
HAS
44%
24%
32%
28 25 3 -2
12 Nov. 2022
HAS
NK HASK Zagreb
1 - 1
NK Trešnjevka
TRE
43%
22%
35%
27 30 3 +1
06 Nov. 2022
NGM
Gaj Mače
3 - 0
NK HASK Zagreb
HAS
65%
19%
16%
28 34 6 -1

Matches

Kurilovec
Kurilovec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2022
NMP
Mladost Petrinja
4 - 1
Kurilovec
NUK
35%
24%
41%
30 26 4 0
26 Nov. 2022
NUK
Kurilovec
2 - 3
NK Trešnjevka
TRE
50%
22%
28%
31 30 1 -1
20 Nov. 2022
NGM
Gaj Mače
2 - 1
Kurilovec
NUK
53%
22%
26%
32 34 2 -1
12 Nov. 2022
NUK
Kurilovec
4 - 1
NK Ponikve
PON
50%
23%
27%
31 29 2 +1
05 Nov. 2022
SAM
Samobor
1 - 0
Kurilovec
NUK
50%
23%
27%
31 33 2 0