Gaj Mače vs Sava Strmec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
35%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
6º
18º
10º
44
8º
18º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
58.5% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
60% | |
|
|
9º
|
44 | 47 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
29% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
67.5% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 37 |
16º
|
67.5% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaj Mače
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2023 |
NGM
1 - 0
LKV
59%
20%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
NUK
2 - 1
NGM
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
NGM
2 - 3
PON
39%
24%
38%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
HAS
2 - 0
NGM
34%
24%
42%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
NGM
4 - 2
NMP
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Sava Strmec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
STR
3 - 2
PON
43%
22%
35%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 3
STR
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
STR
2 - 1
MAK
26%
20%
54%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
NTR
0 - 1
STR
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
STR
2 - 0
BIS
36%
21%
42%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |