NJS vs JäPS II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
31.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
8º
6º
17
4º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 31 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 30 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
59% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
65.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
34.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NJS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
GRI
1 - 1
NJS
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
NJS
0 - 3
EPF
17%
23%
60%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NJS
3 - 1
MYP
27%
22%
52%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +3 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
PEP
2 - 0
NJS
78%
14%
9%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
NJS
0 - 2
FCR
20%
24%
56%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
JäPS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2024 |
JAP
1 - 0
PPJ
32%
22%
46%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
PPJ
2 - 0
JAP
50%
21%
29%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
JAP
0 - 1
FCK
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GRI
2 - 1
JAP
73%
15%
12%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
IFG
1 - 5
JAP
17%
18%
66%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |