Nishan '42 vs Transvaal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nishan '42
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
NIS
50%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
NIS
1 - 0
WBC
35%
21%
44%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
NIS
1 - 3
TAK
44%
22%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
NIS
0 - 4
INT
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NIS
3 - 0
NOT
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Transvaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TRA
2 - 1
INT
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 2
TRA
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
TRA
1 - 1
VIC
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
NOT
1 - 2
TRA
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
RHO
1 - 4
TRA
58%
22%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |