Niort II vs Mérignac-Arlac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
19.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
LES
0 - 1
NIO
47%
24%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
NIO
3 - 0
CHA
81%
12%
8%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
FCP
3 - 1
NIO
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
NIO
5 - 3
BRE
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
LIM
2 - 2
NIO
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mérignac-Arlac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
3 - 0
LEG
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
LES
31%
23%
46%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 2
MAR
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 2
FCP
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
BRE
1 - 1
MAR
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |