Niort II vs Chauvigny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
44.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
14º
5º
47
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
3º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CNF
6 - 3
NIO
65%
19%
16%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GUE
3 - 2
NIO
53%
22%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NIO
3 - 0
PED
53%
21%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
NIO
0 - 0
LEG
36%
23%
41%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
POI
1 - 0
NIO
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Chauvigny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PED
0 - 1
CHA
30%
22%
48%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FCL
1 - 1
CHA
42%
23%
36%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 0
LEG
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
CHA
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LES
2 - 4
CHA
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |