Nigrán Cf vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
51.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigrán Cf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ARO
1 - 0
NIG
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
NIG
1 - 2
RIB
23%
23%
54%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 0
NIG
60%
21%
19%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
NIG
3 - 3
ALE
50%
22%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
PON
1 - 3
NIG
64%
20%
16%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CHO
1 - 1
RIB
44%
26%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ALE
2 - 1
CHO
23%
25%
53%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CHO
3 - 1
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 4
CHO
27%
27%
47%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CHO
2 - 0
TOM
66%
20%
14%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |