African WC Qual. Group E Round 5

Niger vs Morocco analysis

Niger Morocco
59 ELO 88
-8.9% Tilt -11.3%
3131º General ELO ranking 96º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
8.2%
Niger
20.1%
Draw
71.7%
Morocco

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.2%
Win probability
Niger
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
20.1%
71.7%
Win probability
Morocco
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
18.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
17.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
13.1%
0-4
5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Niger
+15%
+4%
Morocco

ELO progression

Niger
Morocco
Tanzania
Zambia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Niger
Niger
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Dec. 2024
NIG
Niger
0 - 0
Togo
TOG
31%
26%
43%
59 65 6 0
22 Dec. 2024
TOG
Togo
1 - 1
Niger
NIG
54%
24%
22%
59 66 7 0
16 Dec. 2024
NIG
Niger
0 - 0
Burkina Faso
BFA
21%
24%
55%
58 74 16 +1
14 Dec. 2024
NIG
Niger
0 - 1
Burkina Faso
BFA
21%
24%
54%
59 74 15 -1
18 Nov. 2024
GHA
Ghana
1 - 2
Niger
NIG
76%
17%
7%
58 79 21 +1

Matches

Morocco
Morocco
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2024
MAR
Morocco
7 - 0
Lesotho
LSO
87%
10%
3%
88 54 34 0
15 Nov. 2024
GAB
Gabon
1 - 5
Morocco
MAR
15%
24%
61%
88 68 20 0
15 Oct. 2024
CTA
Central African Republic
0 - 4
Morocco
MAR
3%
14%
84%
88 46 42 0
12 Oct. 2024
MAR
Morocco
5 - 0
Central African Republic
CTA
94%
5%
1%
88 46 42 0
09 Sep. 2024
LSO
Lesotho
0 - 1
Morocco
MAR
6%
18%
77%
88 54 34 0