Niger vs Burkina Faso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
49.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
SDN
3 - 0
NER
54%
24%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SDN
1 - 2
NER
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
GIN
2 - 1
NER
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
NER
0 - 1
COG
32%
26%
43%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
GMB
2 - 0
NER
51%
25%
23%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
BFA
77%
16%
7%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
CIV
2 - 1
BFA
69%
20%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
BFA
1 - 0
SSD
83%
12%
5%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
UGA
0 - 0
BFA
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
BFA
0 - 0
CMR
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |