Nieuwenhoorn vs VOC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.8%
17.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
16º
15º
31
11º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
69.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
30.5% | 69.5% |
|
Relegation
|
69.5% | 30.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nieuwenhoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
SMI
2 - 1
NIE
48%
23%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
NIE
1 - 0
SPI
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 1
NIE
33%
24%
44%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
NIE
2 - 1
SCF
51%
22%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CAP
5 - 0
NIE
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
VOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
HEI
2 - 1
VOC
41%
23%
36%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
VOC
1 - 1
RKA
22%
26%
53%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
RKV
2 - 2
VOC
17%
20%
64%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
VOC
2 - 1
SJC
21%
20%
60%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 1
VOC
13%
17%
70%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |