Nieuwenhoorn vs Smitshoek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
48.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
11º
6º
54
2º
14º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
66% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
72% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
73.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nieuwenhoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SPI
4 - 0
NIE
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
NIE
3 - 1
FCS
15%
17%
68%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +5 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SCF
2 - 2
NIE
72%
16%
13%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NIE
1 - 3
CAP
23%
21%
57%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
KLO
3 - 1
NIE
70%
17%
14%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Smitshoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SMI
1 - 2
ZWA
65%
19%
17%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
GOE
0 - 1
SMI
44%
24%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SMI
2 - 1
ACH
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
JOD
0 - 3
SMI
37%
23%
40%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
WNC
1 - 0
SMI
37%
23%
40%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |