Nieuwenhoorn vs Poortugaal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
11º
6º
46
7º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
66% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
72% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
73.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 29.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 70.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nieuwenhoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
DED
0 - 1
NIE
9%
14%
78%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NIE
4 - 3
ODI
33%
24%
44%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
WNC
1 - 3
NIE
25%
21%
54%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ZWA
1 - 2
NIE
41%
22%
37%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
NIE
2 - 2
GOE
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Poortugaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
POO
0 - 0
ZWA
62%
19%
18%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
GOE
2 - 2
POO
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
POO
2 - 2
ACH
55%
21%
24%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
JOD
0 - 3
POO
28%
22%
50%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
POO
1 - 4
SMI
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |