Nieuwenhoorn vs ARC Alphense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
58%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
11º
6º
51
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
66% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
72% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
73.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nieuwenhoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
POO
4 - 0
NIE
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NIE
2 - 0
DED
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ODI
2 - 4
NIE
84%
11%
5%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NIE
0 - 1
WNC
36%
23%
41%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NIE
0 - 1
ZWA
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ARC
3 - 1
ZWA
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GOE
2 - 1
ARC
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ARC
1 - 0
ACH
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
JOD
5 - 3
ARC
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ARC
2 - 2
SMI
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |