Botswana League Round 5

Nico United vs Mogoditshane Fighters analysis

Nico United Mogoditshane Fighters
37 ELO 34
-5.3% Tilt -2.3%
8728º General ELO ranking 22865º
11º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
62%
Nico United
19.1%
Draw
18.9%
Mogoditshane Fighters

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
Nico United
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
18.9%
Win probability
Mogoditshane Fighters
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Nico United
Their league position
Mogoditshane Fighters
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
13º
11º
15
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Galaxy FC
71
72
100%
Gaborone United
61
64
100%
Orapa United FC
57
60
100%
Township Rollers
52
53
100%
Security Systems
49
49
100%
Eleven Angels
43
44
100%
Masitaoka
43
43
100%
Sua Flamingoes
41
41
100%
Police XI
40
40
100%
Botswana Defence Force XI
10º
39
39
10º
100%
Nico United
11º
35
36
11º
100%
Morupule Wanderers
12º
35
35
12º
100%
Holy Ghost
13º
29
29
13º
100%
Prisons XI
14º
23
23
14º
100%
Extension Gunners
15º
20
20
15º
100%
Mogoditshane Fighters
16º
15
15
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Nico United
Mogoditshane Fighters
CAF Champions League
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Nico United
Mogoditshane Fighters
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nico United
Nico United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Nov. 2022
TOW
Township Rollers
3 - 0
Nico United
NIC
52%
21%
28%
38 38 0 0
13 Nov. 2022
NIC
Nico United
0 - 0
Prisons XI
PRI
71%
16%
13%
38 30 8 0
05 Nov. 2022
BOT
Botswana Defence Force XI
0 - 0
Nico United
NIC
38%
23%
39%
38 37 1 0
29 Oct. 2022
NIC
Nico United
1 - 0
Sua Flamingoes
SUA
57%
20%
23%
38 38 0 0
27 May. 2017
NIC
Nico United
4 - 1
Mahalapye Hotspurs
UHM
50%
24%
27%
42 42 0 -4

Matches

Mogoditshane Fighters
Mogoditshane Fighters
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2022
MOG
Mogoditshane Fighters
1 - 0
Botswana Defence Force XI
BOT
42%
23%
35%
32 37 5 0
12 Nov. 2022
POL
Police XI
2 - 2
Mogoditshane Fighters
MOG
60%
20%
20%
32 38 6 0
05 Nov. 2022
MOG
Mogoditshane Fighters
0 - 2
Orapa United FC
ORA
38%
23%
40%
33 38 5 -1
30 Oct. 2022
TOW
Township Rollers
2 - 0
Mogoditshane Fighters
MOG
63%
19%
19%
34 38 4 -1
24 May. 2022
SES
Security Systems
1 - 2
Mogoditshane Fighters
MOG
64%
19%
18%
33 38 5 +1