Nico United vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-76%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nico United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
UFS
1 - 1
NIC
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
ECC
2 - 2
NIC
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
TOW
3 - 2
NIC
49%
24%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
MIS
1 - 2
NIC
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
NIC
2 - 1
CEN
50%
22%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MIS
0 - 3
BOT
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
EXT
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BOT
6 - 0
TAF
50%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
MOG
0 - 0
BOT
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 1
NOT
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |