Nice vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
ASN
3 - 2
NIC
47%
28%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1971 |
NIC
3 - 1
LIL
63%
22%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1971 |
REN
2 - 2
NIC
58%
24%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
NIC
3 - 1
ANG
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1971 |
MON
0 - 2
NIC
48%
28%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
REN
2 - 0
RED
64%
22%
15%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1971 |
RED
1 - 1
ASN
57%
23%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1971 |
LIL
3 - 1
RED
49%
27%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
RED
1 - 0
GIR
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1971 |
PSG
4 - 1
RED
70%
17%
13%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |