Nice vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
26.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
LHA
1 - 0
NIC
38%
29%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
NIC
3 - 1
CAE
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 2
NIC
42%
29%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
NIC
0 - 0
LYO
20%
26%
54%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
GIR
0 - 0
NIC
63%
23%
14%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
ASN
0 - 0
LIL
45%
28%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
ASN
2 - 3
REN
46%
28%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
LYO
1 - 0
ASN
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
ASN
3 - 0
STR
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 1
ASN
39%
30%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |