Nice vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 1
NIC
33%
26%
42%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
NIC
1 - 0
LIL
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
MPL
3 - 1
NIC
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
MAR
4 - 5
NIC
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
NIC
2 - 0
AJA
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
PSG
19%
23%
58%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
LOR
2 - 2
MON
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MON
2 - 0
MAR
40%
27%
34%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
MOA
0 - 3
MON
10%
19%
71%
|
83 | 44 | 39 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
TFC
0 - 2
MON
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |