Nice vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1969 |
NÎM
2 - 0
NIC
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1969 |
NIC
1 - 0
STR
54%
26%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
REN
4 - 2
NIC
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1969 |
FCR
4 - 0
NIC
61%
23%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1969 |
NIC
2 - 3
MAR
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1969 |
MET
0 - 0
AJA
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1969 |
NAN
1 - 2
MET
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
MET
0 - 1
ASS
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
SED
0 - 0
MET
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1969 |
MET
3 - 0
SOC
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |