Nice vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
CAE
1 - 2
NIC
32%
25%
43%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GAZ
3 - 1
NIC
16%
23%
62%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
REN
1 - 4
NIC
37%
26%
36%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ASS
1 - 4
NIC
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
NIC
6 - 1
GIR
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
LIL
2 - 1
TRO
54%
26%
20%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LIL
1 - 2
MAR
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 1
LIL
41%
27%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
LIL
2 - 0
MPL
44%
28%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
LIL
0 - 1
NAN
52%
28%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |