Nice vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
28.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
NIC
0 - 0
GRE
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 1
NIC
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
ASS
0 - 1
NIC
43%
29%
28%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
NIC
2 - 1
NAN
56%
25%
19%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
NIC
3 - 0
LUS
72%
19%
9%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
LIL
1 - 1
TFC
58%
24%
18%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
LIL
1 - 1
LOR
61%
23%
16%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 2
LIL
61%
22%
16%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
LIL
3 - 0
ASS
55%
25%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
PSG
1 - 0
LIL
50%
27%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |