Nice vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
NAP
2 - 0
NIC
78%
14%
8%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
NIC
1 - 2
TRO
69%
20%
12%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 0
NIC
26%
26%
49%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
AJA
2 - 2
NIC
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
NIC
1 - 1
AJA
37%
26%
38%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
GUI
0 - 3
PSG
9%
16%
75%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
MET
1 - 3
GUI
36%
26%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
GUI
0 - 2
TOR
31%
26%
44%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
GIR
1 - 0
GUI
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
GUI
1 - 0
BRE
63%
21%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |