Nice vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
16.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
NAN
2 - 0
NIC
24%
25%
50%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
NIC
4 - 0
VAL
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
LIL
0 - 2
NIC
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
NIC
2 - 2
MPL
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
NIC
1 - 0
APO
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
GUI
5 - 1
SOC
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
REI
1 - 1
GUI
50%
26%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 1
BAS
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
PSG
2 - 0
GUI
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 0
LOR
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |