Nice vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
28.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
NIC
1 - 1
BAS
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
REN
3 - 1
NIC
60%
23%
16%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
NIC
0 - 1
AUX
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1996 |
NIC
2 - 0
ASS
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1996 |
BAS
1 - 2
NIC
55%
26%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
GUI
2 - 1
MON
21%
26%
54%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
GUI
1 - 0
ROT
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
BAS
1 - 0
GUI
45%
28%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
GUI
0 - 0
MPL
35%
30%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1996 |
ROT
2 - 1
GUI
71%
17%
13%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |