Nice vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
16.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MPL
0 - 2
NIC
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
NIC
2 - 1
TRO
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
NIC
0 - 2
BAS
52%
26%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
GIR
0 - 0
NIC
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NIC
1 - 1
MAR
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
GAZ
1 - 0
CAE
34%
27%
40%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
GAZ
1 - 1
MAR
21%
25%
54%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GIR
1 - 1
GAZ
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
LOR
3 - 0
GAZ
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
TFC
1 - 1
GAZ
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |