Nice vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
25.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
LYO
1 - 2
NIC
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
NIC
1 - 2
GUI
47%
27%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 1
NIC
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MPL
2 - 1
NIC
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
NIC
0 - 1
MON
35%
28%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ETG
1 - 0
MPL
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
NAN
2 - 1
ETG
47%
27%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ETG
1 - 3
MON
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
ETG
1 - 0
LOR
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MET
1 - 2
ETG
35%
28%
38%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |