Nice vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
NIC
3 - 0
SOC
56%
24%
21%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
NIC
1 - 0
SOC
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
REI
1 - 0
NIC
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
NIC
0 - 3
MON
46%
26%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
LOR
3 - 0
NIC
40%
26%
35%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
ETG
2 - 1
BAS
58%
22%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ETG
1 - 1
REI
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
ETG
2 - 0
PSG
17%
22%
61%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
ETG
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ETG
0 - 4
LOR
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |