Nice vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
23.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
ASB
0 - 3
NIC
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
NIC
0 - 3
CAN
31%
29%
41%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
LMU
1 - 0
NIC
60%
24%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1998 |
NIC
0 - 0
GUI
29%
29%
41%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
CAE
2 - 0
NIC
64%
22%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
NIO
1 - 4
AJA
30%
28%
43%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1998 |
VAL
2 - 0
NIO
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
NIO
3 - 1
FCG
44%
28%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1998 |
ASS
2 - 0
NIO
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
NIO
0 - 0
STL
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |