French League U19 Group D Round 15

Nice U19 vs Montpellier U19 analysis

Nice U19 Montpellier U19
30 ELO 37
7.6% Tilt -3.1%
7443º General ELO ranking 6685º
215º Country ELO ranking 170º
ELO win probability
32.6%
Nice U19
23.1%
Draw
44.3%
Montpellier U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
Nice U19
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
44.3%
Win probability
Montpellier U19
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nice U19
+18%
-3%
Montpellier U19

Points and table prediction

Nice U19
Their league position
Montpellier U19
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
13º
11º
48
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Montpellier U19
48
51
84%
Olympique Marseille U19
47
48
84%
Ajaccio U19
41
44
54.5%
Toulouse U19
43
43
54.5%
Monaco U19
37
40
80%
Saint-Etienne U19
38
38
80%
Béziers U19
34
35
42%
Bastia U19
34
34
34.5%
Colomiers U19
10º
33
34
25.5%
Air Bel U19
33
33
10º
42.5%
Nice U19
11º
31
32
11º
55%
Istres U19
12º
30
30
12º
77%
Cannes U19
13º
28
28
13º
77%
Blagnac U19
14º
11
11
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Nice U19
Montpellier U19
Promotion
0% 84%
Mid-table
100% 16%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Nice U19
Montpellier U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nice U19
Nice U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2022
MON
Monaco U19
0 - 1
Nice U19
NIC
83%
11%
6%
29 44 15 0
20 Nov. 2022
NIC
Nice U19
2 - 2
Blagnac U19
BLA
84%
10%
6%
29 18 11 0
13 Nov. 2022
IST
Istres U19
0 - 0
Nice U19
NIC
28%
21%
51%
29 23 6 0
05 Nov. 2022
NIC
Nice U19
0 - 4
Toulouse U19
TOU
40%
23%
38%
30 35 5 -1
22 Oct. 2022
ETI
Saint-Etienne U19
1 - 0
Nice U19
NIC
61%
20%
19%
31 37 6 -1

Matches

Montpellier U19
Montpellier U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2022
MON
Montpellier U19
2 - 1
Air Bel U19
ABE
69%
17%
14%
37 27 10 0
20 Nov. 2022
COL
Colomiers U19
2 - 3
Montpellier U19
MON
24%
24%
53%
37 28 9 0
13 Nov. 2022
MON
Montpellier U19
0 - 0
Bastia U19
BAS
77%
14%
9%
37 21 16 0
06 Nov. 2022
AJA
Ajaccio U19
3 - 1
Montpellier U19
MON
28%
24%
48%
38 30 8 -1
22 Oct. 2022
MON
Montpellier U19
2 - 0
Béziers U19
BEZ
62%
19%
19%
37 31 6 +1