Nice U19 vs Montferrand U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 1
NIC
25%
23%
52%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
NIC
2 - 2
LAT
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MON
2 - 3
NIC
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Montferrand U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MON
5 - 5
MON
11%
19%
70%
|
13 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
FUR
1 - 0
MON
31%
24%
45%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 0
MON
77%
15%
8%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |