Nice U19 vs Ajaccio U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
37.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
9º
9º
33
7º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ROD
6 - 1
NIC
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
NIC
0 - 4
MON
32%
22%
47%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -3 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NIC
2 - 2
BEZ
72%
16%
11%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
COL
1 - 2
NIC
30%
25%
45%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
NIC
1 - 0
OLY
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 1
MON
22%
21%
57%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
BEZ
0 - 1
AJA
29%
24%
47%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
AJA
3 - 0
COL
60%
22%
18%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 1
ABE
35%
23%
43%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 1
AJA
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |