Nice U17 vs Ajaccio U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
24%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
9º
1º
41
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
6º
|
70.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 32 |
8º
|
99% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 29 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
79.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BEZ
0 - 4
NIC
20%
20%
61%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
NIC
3 - 0
ASP
78%
14%
9%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
DUC
1 - 1
NIC
18%
19%
64%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
NIC
4 - 0
VAL
80%
13%
8%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GAZ
0 - 7
NIC
18%
19%
63%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
AJA
3 - 1
SPR
80%
13%
7%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
AJA
59%
19%
22%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
AJA
3 - 0
BAS
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AJA
1 - 3
STN
35%
22%
44%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BEZ
5 - 1
AJA
12%
16%
72%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -3 |